Sports entertainment playing can be quite money-making if you Understand Typically the secrets the particular “smart money” bettors work with to constantly make funds. Most significant secrets that clever money bettors use can be knowing when NOT for you to Wagering.

Here’s a ideal case in point. My partner and i analyzed typically the Western world Florida vs. Louisville video game, and concluded of which West Virginia had the particular edge in the activity. However , My spouse and i also came to the realization that there have been a lot of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to my clients that they perform not guess on this particular game. Here is my analysis I released before the game:

West Florida versus Louisville

This activity features all the signs of being one of the greatest games involving the year, along with each teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, both with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, together with Western Virginia coming back from staying down big in the next one fourth to winning inside overtime, however,.

So what’s the overall game look like this year?

When this video game were as played on a good natural field, West Florida will probably be a 4-6 stage favorite. Since the particular game is within Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented throw. Many people haven’t lost since Jan. 1, 2005, intending 14-0 since they missing to Virginia Tech. In the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last dokuz game titles overall, and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 STREET games.

These kind of are some very impressive stats that tilt the particular scales in favor involving WVU to get tonight’s game. Plus, often the added in bonus is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This could not seem like significantly, but in a close up match-up this way, that more point could make the distinction between a push and even a loss.

But some of us wonder what about Louisville?

Louisville’s stats are almost as good while WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their very own past 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS inside their last 10 home game titles.

Together with if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t lost at your home since December 20, the year 2003! During this latest run Louisville is hitting 49. five points for every game at your home, while averaging only stopping 15. 7 points every game at home. In case you didn’t do the math, that means due to the fact their last home decline they also have averaged beating their particular oppositions by means of about thirty four things per game.

Even greater impressive, the average line in these games has only been recently 21 points. That stands for Louisville has beaten typically the spread, on average, by 13 things per activity at home given that 2003.

Wow… how can you not in favor of that?

Here’s precisely how…

The majority of those stats had been established during the 2006 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to good than great. They are yet to had recent games in which they’ve only scored 28, 23, 24 points. of video games weren’t against Kansas E. or Michigan. That they have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.

The end result is that will this is still the close video game to get in touch with. Yet what I look regarding is West Virginia’s safety to carry the working day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s simply no factor to think WVU can’t hold them to often the low to the middle of 20’s. My honest suggestion will be to lay off this particular game and certainly not gamble at all. There are better video games this quick with more simple strengths.

The final score with this game was Louisville forty-four, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to give back the punt for a good TD. The results was the fact that West Virginia’s advantage weren’t so big that they could very well still win immediately after generating so many mistakes. By means of not betting on this sport, people critical about gambling saved money they will can offer better make use of on coming games.


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