Sports wagering can be extremely successful if you Understand The tricks the particular “smart money” bettors apply to continually make dollars. One of the primary secrets that wise money bettors use is knowing when NOT in order to Playing.

Here’s a best instance. I analyzed this Western world Va vs. Louisville match, and concluded the fact that West Va had this edge in the game. However , We also came to the realization that there was a good deal of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not guarantee on this specific game. Here is the analysis I released ahead of the game:

West Florida vs . Louisville

This sport possesses all the indications of being one regarding the most effective games regarding the year, along with both equally teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, equally having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, using Rest of the world Virginia coming backside from staying down massive in the 4th 1 / 4 to winning within overtime.

So what’s the action search like this year?

If this match were getting played in some sort of neutral field, West Florida would probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since often the game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia can be on an unprecedented move. These people haven’t lost considering April. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they shed to Va Tech. In the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last on the lookout for game titles overall, and 8-2 ATS in their very last 10 ROAD games. of are some very impressive stats that tilt often the scales in favor associated with WVU with regard to tonight’s games. Plus, often the added in reward is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This could not appear like very much, but in a near match-up such as this, that extra point will certainly make the variation between a good push plus a loss.

But some of us wonder what regarding Louisville?

Louisville’s figures are usually almost as good like WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their very own previous 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS into their last 10 home game titles.

And even if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t lost at your home since 12 16, 2003! During this present run Louisville is hitting 49. 4 points every game at your home, while averaging only quitting 15. six points for every game on home. In case an individual don’t do the math concepts, that means given that their particular last home reduction they have already averaged beating their competitors by means of about thirty four factors per game.

Furthermore remarkable, the average line during these games has only also been 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten the particular pass on, on average, by simply 13 details per online game at home due to the fact the year 2003.

Wow… how can anyone go against that?

Here’s precisely how…

Almost all of those stats ended up accumulated during the july 2004 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been closer to fine than great. They already have got recent games through which they have already only scored 36, 12, 24 points. And the game titles weren’t against Oh Saint. or Michigan. These people were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.

Basically that this is still a new close game to contact. Nevertheless what I look to get is West Virginia’s safety to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s not any reason to think WVU can’t have one to the particular low to middle of the 20’s. My honest suggestion can be to lay off this kind of game and not really bet at all. There will be better video games this end of the week with more simple advantages.

The final score in this game was Louisville forty-four, West California 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to gain a punt for a new TD. The bottom line was that will West Virginia’s borders weren’t so big which they may possibly still win immediately after making so many mistakes. Simply by not betting on this specific sport, people really serious about wagering saved money they can offer better use on coming games.


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