Athletics betting are often very rewarding if anyone Realize Often the strategies typically the “smart money” gamblers work with to continually make money. One of the biggest secrets that wise money gamblers use will be knowing when NOT in order to Betting.

Here’s a perfect case in point. I actually analyzed the particular West California vs. Louisville video game, and concluded the fact that West California had typically the edge in the video game. Nevertheless , My spouse and i also realized that there was a good deal of random and capricious factors, and recommended to my clients that they do not guess on this kind of game. Here is our analysis I released prior to the game:

West Florida versus Louisville

This sport offers all the symptoms of being one regarding the very best games associated with the year, along with each teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 positioned West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, the two together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s sport was a classic, having Rest of the world Virginia coming rear from getting down major in the fourth 1 fourth to winning in overtime.

So what’s the action search like this year?

In the event this game were appearing played in a fairly neutral field, West Florida might probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since the game is within Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia will be on an unprecedented rotate. They will haven’t lost due to the fact April. 1, 2005, intending 14-0 since they dropped to Florida Tech. On the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their very last 10 STREET games. All these are some very impressive stats that tilt typically the scales in favor involving WVU for tonight’s game. Plus, this extra bonus is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This may not look like quite a bit, but in a in close proximity match-up this way, that special point can make the distinction between the push and a loss.

But you may be wondering what concerning Louisville?

Louisville’s numbers are usually almost as good as WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their own final 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS inside their final 10 home games.

And if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a daunting stat… Louisville hasn’t dropped in your house since 12 , 18, 2003! During this current run Louisville is hitting 49. five points for each game at home, while hitting only quitting 15. 6 points each game from home. In case anyone decided not to do the math concepts, that means considering that their very own last home decline they already have averaged beating their opposing team by way of about 34 things per game.

Furthermore remarkable, the average line during these games has only been 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten this range, on average, by way of 13 points per game at home considering that the year 2003.

Wow… how can you not in favor of that?

Here’s exactly how…

Almost all of those stats ended up piled up during the 2005 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to excellent than great. They already have got recent games by which they already have only scored 28, 23, 24 points. And the games weren’t against Kansas St. or Michigan. That they ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.

The bottom line is the fact that this is still some sort of close match to call up. Nevertheless the things i look for is West Virginia’s security to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s zero purpose to think WVU can’t hold them to typically the low to middle of the 20’s. My honest professional recommendation is definitely to lay off this kind of game and not necessarily bet at all. There will be better video games this weekend with more simple positive aspects.

The final score of the game was Louisville 46, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to come back some sort of punt for the TD. The results was of which West Virginia’s border has not been so big they will may still win following doing so many mistakes. By means of not betting on this particular video game, people critical concerning sports betting saved money that they can put to better make use of on approaching games.


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